Longtime F-16 Pilot Analyzes UAP Hellfire Missile Video Presented to Congress
Lagos, Portugal, October 2025 -- YouTube UAP video podcaster Chris Lehto spent 18 years as an F-16 pilot before retiring in 2020 and decided to dedicate his YouTube channel to studying the nature of UAPs and the complexities of the phenomenon. He takes a scientific approach to help illuminate and provide informative content.
In his latest video, he addresses the Yemen UAP Hellfire missile video that was revealed to Congress at the UAP Hearing held on Sept. 9, 2025. That video can be seen here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7GKjSazkK9A
AS LEHTO DISCUSSED THE UAP HELLFIRE MISSILE VIDEO ON X:
"The idea that we know the speed of the Yemen UAP with any reasonable degree of accuracy is not good. First, we do not know the filming plane heading with any real accuracy apart from subtracting from the pod angle. The pod is stabilized to the ground. Maybe when the operator breaks lock after the target is hit, we can somehow deduce the turn? There are no wing bars. Closing speed won’t allow it. We don’t even know if this is during the day – it could be night and the moonlight for all we know.
Furthermore, we don’t really know where this is even. Rep. Eric Burlison said Yemen, but that could also be incorrect. Where is the proof? It’s not in the video.
Second, we don’t know with real accuracy the elevation of the pod on the target. We know at impact the range to the target and shortly after impact the range to the water so at that instant we can calculate a look down angle based on trigonometry.
After that we don’t know since the data isn’t given. At break lock, the cursors will not auto track the target so we see manual slewing and it appears to me the operator has to slew down and to the left which would imply a descending object. I guess we could use pod mil sizing but again this would be an estimate which has a big error margin.
Third, this also shows that we don’t know the object altitude after breaklock because altitude was only determinable from the change in laser ranging at impact and shortly after. Anything else is an assumption. As I said before, why does he have to slew down? Because the plane turned and got closer to the object in a few seconds somehow? More likely the object is descending as Ryan Graves thinks.
Fourth, we have no idea the speed of the drone. We can guess say 200 knots, based on Reaper ops manual but that is a total guess. Also at 24,500’ that is indicated airspeed, not true! Any pilot knows this is not the same and is going to be much higher than 200 knots at 12,400 where the target is. Do we know winds at 24,500’? There will surely be a wind difference of 2 vertical miles difference.
Fifth, I’ve seen speed estimates of 40 knots for the object. These are guesstimates based off a lot of assumptions. How are they calculating the speed of the object? From the parallax speed based off wave size? From the relation to the drone? Wave size will be a guess.
Any speed calculation based on the drone is not correct because a) we do not know the speed of the drone as I explained above and b) we don’t know the winds at 12,400 OR 24,500’. Not to mention it’s 200 knots indicated airspeed which I would be surprised if that was used as to get the 40knot estimate.
Sixth, we have no idea what the winds are. Again, any pilot knows winds are tricky. I’ve seen global wind models referenced and heard of 10-15 knots at the surface. Does that include gusts? This was not calm winds. If this was direct crosswinds and there was a gust component (there usually is) it could be a serious issue for takeoffs. And 10-15 knot winds at the surface could easily equate to 40-50 knots at higher altitudes.
There are two ways to get accurate winds at altitude: launch a weather balloon or fly a plane there, which has gps/INS. So, assuming the guesstimate of 40 knots is correct (which I believe has a huge error margin) 40 knots is within the given winds for that day!
What is anomalous about this engagement? My hunch is AARO will get full access to the video and its precedence which will have more information. AARO will easily show it is a balloon shootdown harming the Disclosure movement. Meanwhile, solid anomalous evidence is ignored.
Yemen UAP Mystery SOLVED!”
Adds CJ Arabia, Chief Investigator and ERT Case Manager for Southern California MUSON: “What do you think of Lehto's analysis of the video? Do you agree? Speaking for myself, when they played the Yemen Hellfire UAP video during the Congressional hearing on 9/9, I was wondering, ‘If it didn't explode, what was all that debris I saw falling across the screen?’”
You can see more from Chris Lehto on his YouTube channel HERE.
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CONTACT:
CJ Arabia
